FCST: 12/19-20/11 ~ Blizzard SW Kansas

A potent winter storm system is taking aim on southwestern and central Kansas at this hour.  The storm will be a prolonged storm producing moderate to sometimes heavy snow across a large portion of the sunflower state for 18 hours or more.  Numerous winter storm and blizzard watches have been posted.

Here is an overview of the latest watches and warnings from the National Weather Service:

Here is a look at the storm system as it appears this morning on water vapor imagery.  The fly in the ointment, for a major snow for our local area, is the model progs of warm air aloft and a dry air intrusion at the mid levels.

Here is the forecast significant surface low track from the HPC:

  
One thing to note is the track of this system is in a near perfect position for a major snow producer for Western and Northwestern MO...Fort Smith, AR to just south of St. Louis....*USUALLY* 200 miles northwest of the track gets dumped on.....something we will definitely have to watch as the system moves out into the MS valley tomorrow into Tuesday. ~ CS