Target Area: LaJunta, CO to Ulysses, KS
Forecast Discussion: A dryline bulge will enter the area from the southwest around 0z. At this time low level shear should be maximized with 500mb flow from the SW at 50+knts and SE surface winds of 15knts providing good inflow for storms to feed from. Capping does'nt appear to be a problem with low cinh and 700 mb temps of around 10c. EHI in this area is also maximized of around 7-10. LCL heights should be around 1000 to give us some decent storm bases as well. Lifted index is over -10C also. RUC forecasted Skew-T for Lamar sums this up really. Chris and I will head for LaJunta later to position and to look at mesoanalysis and adjust from there.
http://beta.wxcaster.com/cgi-bin/parse_skewt_trace_all.cgi?model=RUC&STATIONID=klaa
Chase Summary:
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