Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Yazoo City, MS Tornado: April 24, 2010

Posted by Jesse Risley on April 27, 2010 at 9:43 PM
   



The video that I have uploaded here chronicles the monstrous supercell  that struck Yazoo City, Mississippi on Saturday, April 24, 2010.   Convective Addiction compatriots Jesse Risley and Brad Goddard, along  with fellow chaser Kevin Crawmer, intercepted the supercell several  miles to the south of Yazoo City, MS.  At is became apparent that a tornado  of elephantine proportions was enshrouding itself just behind the  curtains of rain wrapping into the southern flank of the cell, our  efforts turned from videographer to diverting oncoming motorists who  were obviously unaware of the dangers that they were about to encounter  as they proceeded northbound on U.S. 49.  Unfortunately, a few of them  encountered the outer flanks of the wedge tornado and sustained  vehicular damage just up the road from our location, though no one was  seriously injured as far as we could tell.

The most disturbing aspect of this entire day was the fact that when we originally entered the community from the north about twenty minutes prior to  the arrival of the tornado, a Tornado Emergency had already been issued by the  NWS office in Jackson, MS several minutes prior to our  arrival on Hwy 49N.  However, it was  business as usual in the community and no sirens appeared to have been  activated at that time.  Witnesses later told us that they heard the sirens very  briefly before the tornado hit (app. 1-2 minutes as best, others said 5-10 minutes).  You can hear  a forecaster from the NWS in the background several minutes into the  videotape reading a live on-air NOAA Weather Radio script of the Tornado  Emergency.

As we entered the community again immediately following the passage of the twister, our efforts quickly turned to  assisting with imminent search and rescue operations, as there were no  emergency personnel on the scene of some of the worst damage that  occurred in the eastern side of the city for 5-10 minutes after our  arrival.  This was likely due more to the extent of damage and road  blockages community-wide than it was a failure on anyone’s (EMS, LE or Fire) part to  respond in a commensurate manner.  In a situation this drastic, the only first responders may very well be ordinary citizens and neighbors.

There is much to be said about the prudence and sanity of chasing HP supercells that are producing strong to violent tornadoes, wrapped in  rain, while moving at hypersonic speeds of 55+ mph, and in the "jungles" of  the Deep South nonetheless.  This is exactly why we positioned ourselves far enough south to ensure that we wouldn’t even be in imminent danger  if the cell took a sudden right turn, yet still allowing respectably  close viewing of the tornado, which was mostly wrapped in rain from our vantage point.

My kudos go out to the fellow chasers who also laid down the chaser hat and worked selflessly for hours with  search and rescue efforts, helping numerous residents that were trapped  in the remnant shambles of a neighborhood forever changed that Saturday  afternoon.

The damage video that I shot isn’t even the tip of the iceberg of  what I saw yesterday, but it does offer a glimpse at the destructive  power of nature.  This was certainly a significant chase day, yet it  will remain my most humble and tragic to date.  Most of the damage footage taken in the more sunnier conditions was shot about 2-3 hours after the passage of the twister, when we were finished helping with search and rescue efforts.  I have only included what I feel is appropriate to share, as this was an emotionally charged atmosphere and some individuals sustained serious injuries as well.

An ongoing damage assessment analysis from the NWS (KJAN) can be found here.


A few radar grabs from GR Level 2 are included below.  They were  provided to us by chaser Jared Thompson of Texas.



A look back at some visual aides from April 24th


The Day 1 Outlook from the SPC is shown below








The EHI is a simple tool that is calculated by combining helicity values and atmospheric instability into  one single unit for determining whether or not a particular environment is ripe for supercell development.  A 0-1 km EHI > 1-2 suggests that significant tornadoes may be possible; the values at 17z are approaching 10 in central MS!





 The Significant Tornado parameter for the fixed layer is a composite index that comprises the 0-6 km bulk wind  difference, 0-1 km SRH, SBCAPE, sbCIN (note no shading), and surface parcel LCL  height. This mesoanalysis version of STP uses fixed layer calculations of  vertical shear, and the surface lifted parcels, as an alternative to the  "effective layer" version of STP.





Note the 300 mb Jet max is approaching 120 kts from the southwest.





 Note the 500 mb winds of 60-80 kts, when combined with the 300 mb jet streak (above)  approaching 120 kts, yielded effective shear magnitudes of 50+ kts.




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 Note the 55-65kt low level jet which promoted enlarged hodographs, lending SRH values of between 300 (W. MS) and 700 (NE MS), as noted in the SRH chart down below. At that time, 850 mb dewpoints sat near 14C over western MS.




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 Note the southerly winds pooling warm, moist air northward from the Gulf of Mexico, turning increasingly S-SE progressing northward through Mississippi.





 A strong LLJ rendered 0-1 km SRH of between 300-700 m2/s2 over the entire region.





At 16z SFC-1km Vertical Shear is already 60 kts across this region; > 15-20 kts is considered favorable for supercell tornadoes.





Effective bulk shear values of 60-70 kts suggest that supercells are likely (>40 kts is more than sufficient).





It is now evident that the LLJ is promoting higher THETA-E values, noting that any region with an elevated THETA-E corresponds to more significant instability and thus higher SBCAPE indices.





Warming temperatures and increasing low level dewpoints are  increase instability, as CINH erodes.  This is showing elevated THETA-E values over the region.





 At 17z most of Mississippi sits with SBCAPE AOA 2000 J/KG, with CINH eroded, lending an environment primed for severe weather.



Normalized CAPE values sit at 0.15 m/s**2 at 17z, suggested average parcel accelerations.






Note: Greater than 40 m/s**3 is considered high; values sit at 80 just east of where the Yazoo supercell
developed at 17z.

 
Note that a negatively tilted shortwave trough is beginning to advect ENE from the ARKLATEX region.





The VGP parameter is used to estimate the rate of tilting and stretching of horizontal vorticity by a thunderstorm updraft.  Values in excess of 0.20 m/s**2 suggest that tornadoes are more likely; here they are reaching 0.60 m/s**2 near Yazoo City.







The LFC paramater is indicative of the level at which a lifted parcel begins a free acceleration upward to equilibrium.  Tornado potential increases when LFC heights are between 1500-2000m above the surface.  As we can see, STRONG support for tornadogenesis is noted with LFC levels at 1000m.






The LCL Heights are sitting at between 500 and 1000m, lending good support for tornadoes. This is the level at which a lifted partial saturates, and is also used to estimate cloud base heights.






The BRN shear value sits at over 150 m2/s**2 across the entire region.  The BRN Shear is the denominator in the formula for the Bulk Richardson  Number, a ratio of CAPE values to deep layer shear  (6km wind - sfc wind)^2.  This indicates that an incredible amount of shear is present over the area that would soon host a number of tornadic supercells Saturday afternoon.



 
This chart gives us a glimpse of frontogenesis characteristics as an operational characteristic of kinematics.





Note that SFC-6 km shear is at 68 kts; storm motion is at 233 degrees (SW) and 57 kts!

Jesse L. Risley

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